Same thing might happen in near future, the load shedding this year was attributed to non availability of generation this year so new power plants have been put on fast track with 1200 MW of rentals, 2600 MW of IPPS, 1000 MW by WAPDA/PEPCO and more by SHYDO are supposed to be online soon. So does that mean there would be lesser load shedding. Think again, all this generation has to be carried out by high voltage transmission lines, transformed to lower voltgaes and distributed and all these three systems are defecient already. Even the generation available right now can not be utilized fully what to talk of more. So when in future the extra generation would be avialble and we would be doling out expensive dollars in capacity payments there might not be infra structure available to utilize it.
There is another catch, all these new plants are supposed to run on gas or oil of which there is no capacity in the country, even if some is imported it would be high cost, and not only that there is not enough transportation facilities available for taking the oil to the power houses. It is said we have lots of coal, but why use the resource or invest in that technology.
Alternate energy doesnot have much potential as it is costlier to install so finding investors for that would not be possible. There are no plans to add nuclear except a mere 300 MW in near future. So like being an agricultural country which is short of grain, soon we would have power houses but load shedding would persist.
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